Core Economic Data

Developed a core economic dataset that explain more than 90% of the variability in most economic outcomes. Forthcoming, December 2024

Data is updated monthly, and quarterly as data arrives after market close US-EST time.

Tutorials are the best documentation — Core Economic Data Tutorial

Input Datasets

Economic Series

Models Used

Parsing, Imputation

Model Outputs

Imputed Data

Description

This dataset provides a core set of economic indicators that explain over 90% of the variability in most economic outcomes. There are over 250 economic time series features. For there individual explanations, please see the FRED website.

Data Access

Economic Time Series

from sovai import sov
df_econ = sov.data("macro/features")

Data Dictionary

Here we have isolated the data that describes 90% of the variance of most economic outcomes.

FRED CodeDescriptionGranularity

CLAIMSx

Initial Unemployment Claims

Monthly

S&P PE ratio

S&P 500 Price-Earnings Ratio

Monthly

gs1

1-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate

Monthly

TB6SMFFM

6-Month Treasury Bill Rate Minus Fed Funds Rate

Monthly

UMCSENTx

Consumer Confidence Index

Monthly

vxoclsx

CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index: Close

Monthly

A014RE1Q156NBEA

GDP Share: Private Investment Change (%)

Quarterly

A823RL1Q225SBEA

Govt. Spending & Investment Change: Federal (%)

Quarterly

gs1tb3m

Spread Between 1-Year Treasury and 3-Month Treasury Bill

Monthly

cpf3mtb3m

3-Month Commercial Paper Minus 3-Month Treasury Bill

Monthly

DRIWCIL

Lending Willingness: Consumer Loans (%)

Quarterly

mrtggs10

10-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate

Monthly

UEMP5TO14

Unemployed for 5-14 Weeks (000s)

Monthly

EXUSEU

US Dollar to Euro Exchange Rate

Monthly

T10YFFM

10-Year Treasury Rate Minus Fed Funds Rate

Monthly

USEPUINDXM

US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index

Monthly

TLBSNNBBDIx

Business Sector Debt to Income Ratio (%)

Quarterly

CONSPI

Consumer Credit to Personal Income Ratio

Monthly

LNS14000025

Unemployment Rate: Men Over 20 (%)

Monthly

PERMIT

New Housing Building Permits Issued (000s)

Monthly

AWHMAN

Avg Weekly Hours: Manufacturing Workers

Monthly

S_P_div_yield

S&P 500 Dividend Yield

Monthly

CES1021000001

Employment in Mining & Logging (000s)

Monthly

HOUSTW

Housing Starts: West Region (000s Units)

Monthly

HOUSTNE

Housing Starts: Northeast Region (000s Units)

Monthly

EXCAUS

Canada / U.S. Foreign Exchange Rate

Monthly

HOUST

New Housing Starts (000s Units)

Monthly

S_P__indust

S&P 500 Industrial Sector Index

Monthly

MANEMP

Manufacturing Sector Employment (000s)

Monthly

LNS13023621

Unemployment Level: Job Losers (000s)

Monthly

You can add the series name like TB6SMFFM to the fred URL to obtain a more detailed explanation like: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TB6SMFFM


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